Final Oscar Predictions 2019


This was a busy year for me and the Academy Awards! First, I started prognosticating for Movie City News’ Gurus o’ Gold series and then was interviewed by BBC radio this past Friday about my predictions for the telecast. (Check out my segment at 52:18.) I think race relations will be this year’s overarching political message. Also, expect some cringeworthy Jussie Smollett jokes.

Anyway, here are my picks for the 91st Academy Awards:

Best Picture 

Will win: Roma 
Might upset: Bohemian Rhapsody
Should have been nominated: If Beale Street Could Talk or Crazy Rich Asians
My Pick: The Favourite 

Best Director

Will win: Alfonso Cuaron (Roma)
Might upset: Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman)
Should have been nominated: Bradley Cooper (A Star is Born)
My Pick: Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite)

Best Actor 

Will win: Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody)
Might upset: Christian Bale (Vice)
Should have been nominated: Ethan Hawke (First Reformed)
My Pick: Bradley Cooper (A Star is Born)

Best Actress

Will win: Glenn Close (The Wife)
Might upset: Olivia Colman (The Favourite)
Should have been nominated: Elsie Fisher (Eighth Grade)
My Pick: Olivia Colman (The Favourite)

Best Supporting Actor  

Will win: Mahershala Ali (Green Book)
Might upset: Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)
Should have been nominated: Brian Tyree Henry (If Beale Street Could Talk)
My Pick: Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) *BUT REALLY FOR WITHNAIL & I!

Best Supporting Actress

Will win: Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk)
Might upset: Rachel Weisz (The Favourite)
Should have been nominated: Michelle Yeoh (Crazy Rich Asians)
My Pick: Rachel Weisz (The Favourite)

Best Original Screenplay

Will win: The Favourite 
Might upset: Green Book
Should have been nominated: Eighth Grade
My Pick: The Favourite 

Best Adapted Screenplay

Will win: BlacKkKlansman  
Might upset: Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Should have been nominated: Spider-Man: Into the Spiderverse
My Pick: BlacKkKlansman 

Best Animated Feature Film:

Will win: Spider-Man: Into the Spiderverse
Might upset: LOL. (But Isle of Dogs)
Should have been nominated: n/a
My Pick: Ralph Breaks the Internet

Best Foreign Language Film:

Will win: Roma
Might upset: Cold War
Should have been nominated: Burning
My Pick: Roma

Best Documentary – Feature:

Will win: Free Solo
Might upset: RBG
Should have been nominated: Won’t You Be My Neighbor
My Pick: Minding the Gap

Best Original Song:

Will win: “Shallow” (A Star is Born)
Might upset: IF ANYTHING “All the Stars” (Black Panther)
Should have been nominated: “A Place Called Slaughter Race” (Ralph Breaks the Internet)
My Pick: “Shallow” (A Star is Born)


Best Animated Short Film: Bao 
Best CinematographyRoma
Best Costume Design: The Favourite
Best Documentary – Short Subject: Lifeboat
Best Film Editing: Vice
Best Live Action Short Film: Margeurite 
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Vice
Best Original Score: Black Panther
Best Production Design: The Favourite 
Best Sound Editing: Bohemian Rhapsody 
Best Sound Mixing: Bohemian Rhapsody
Best Visual Effects: First Man 

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