Final Oscar Predictions 2017


I’ll be honest – 2016 was not my favorite year for film. While movies like American Honey, The Edge of Seventeen, Moonlight, and Manchester by the Sea astonished me (and Lion made me cry uncontrollably from the first five minutes until the end of the credits), I find myself less impressed with most of this year’s Oscar hopefuls. La La Land, which my fiance and I have nicknamed “Blah Blah Bland,” is just another example of Hollywood autoanilingus. (Does anyone even remember The Artist?). Arrival and Hell or High Water are both solidly written and Hidden Figures is a fun crowd-pleaser, but that’s as far as they go for me. Previews rendered Hacksaw Ridge and Fences so cardboard-like I couldn’t even muster the energy to force myself to see them. But in a year rich with performances, artistic innovations, and stunning scripts, I still find myself swept away in the majesty of award season. The Academy Awards are my Super Bowl.

I doubt we’ll see many surprises in a year where La La Land will likely dominate, but I’m still rooting for Isabelle Huppert, my favorite malevolent sprite, to wrench that trophy away from Emma Stone’s  thirsty fingers. (In my dreams she also pulls an Adele and breaks off half to given to Annette Bening for her 20th Century Women snub. The nerve!)

If I had my choice, Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor, Best Supporting Actress, and Best Original Screenplay would all go to Manchester by the Sea. And Best Supporting Actor and Best Adapted Screenplay to Moonlight. Considering my predictions, I’m sure I’ll get lucky somewhere in there.

Without further ado, my 2017 Oscar picks:

Best Picture 

Will Win: La La Land
Might Upset: Hidden Figures 
Should Have Been Nominated: Deadpool

Best Director

Will Win: Damien Chazelle (La La Land)
Might Upset: Barry Jenkins (Moonlight)
Should Have Been Nominated: Garth Davis (Lion)

Best Actor 

Will Win: Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)
Might Upset: Denzel Washington (Fences)
Should Have Been Nominated: Adam Driver (Paterson)

Best Actress

Will Win: Emma Stone (La La Land)
Might Upset: Isabelle Huppert (Elle)
Should Have Been Nominated: Annette Bening (20th Century Women)

Best Supporting Actor  

Will Win: Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)
Might Upset: Dev Patel (Lion)
Should Have Been Nominated: David Oyelowo (Queen of Katwe)

Best Supporting Actress

Will Win: Viola Davis (Fences)
Might Upset: Michelle Williams (Manchester By the Sea)
Should Have Been Nominated: Riley Keough (American Honey)

Best Original Screenplay

Will Win: Manchester by the Sea
Might Upset: La La Land 
Should Have Been Nominated: Kubo and the Two Strings 

Best Adapted Screenplay

Will Win: Moonlight
Might Upset: Arrival
Should Have Been Nominated: Queen of Katwe

Best Animated Feature Film:

Will Win: Zootopia
Might Upset: Kubo and the Two Strings 
Should Have Been Nominated: Your Name 

Best Foreign Language Film:

Will Win: Toni Erdmann (Germany)
Might Upset: The Salesman (Iran)
Should Have Been Nominated: Elle (France)

Best Documentary – Feature:

Will Win: O.J.: Made in America 
Might Upset: 13th
Should Have Been Nominated: Tickled


Best Animated Short Film: Piper
Best CinematographyLa La Land 
Best Costume Design: La La Land 
Best Documentary – Short Subject: 4.1 Miles 
Best Film Editing: La La Land 
Best Live Action Short Film: Ennemis Interieurs
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: A Man Called Ove
Best Original Score: La La Land
Best Original Song: “City of Stars” (La La Land)
Best Production Design: La La Land 
Best Sound Editing: Hacksaw Ridge
Best Sound Mixing: Hacksaw Ridge
Best Visual Effects: The Jungle Book 


Most Enjoyable Movies of 2016
The Witch
A Haunting in Cawdor
Only Yesterday
Left on Pearl
High Strung
Everything is Copy
We the People: The Market Basket Effect
Author: The JT LeRoy Story
Morris from America
The Jungle Book
Neighbors 2
Baby Cobra
Love & Friendship
Tale of Tales
Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates
Front Cover
Sausage Party
The Lovers and the Despot
Queen of Katwe
The Dressmaker
American Honey
The Edge of Seventeen
The Handmaiden
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Manchester by the Sea
Kubo and the Two Strings
The Hunt for the Wilderpeople
20th Century Women
Hell or High Water
To Walk Invisible
Hidden Figures
Hairspray Live!
Most Disappointing Movies of 2015
Hail, Caesar!
Living Lost
Green Room
A Moment of Silence
Welcome to Happiness
Sing Street
X-Men: Apocalypse
Time to Choose
The Wave
Black Women in Medicine
Florence Foster Jenkins
Finding Dory
La La Land
Things to Come

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